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ASPO 2009 International Peak Oil Conference

System Reset: Global Energy and the New Economy
Sheraton Hotel, Denver, Colorado
Sunday, October 11- Tuesday, October 13, 2009

Saturday, October 10, 2009

1:00 PM to 9:00 PM Pre-Conference Workshop: Survive and Thrive After Peak Oil
 Creating Personal Plans for the Coming Decades

The Challenge: How should we plan our lives in the face of peak oil, global climate change, and the ongoing financial crisis? Much thought has gone into policy questions around energy, but less attention has been given to helping people prepare their own plans for such concerns as finance, careers, education, nutrition, community, housing, and transportation. It’s time for all of us to help fix that! Continued “business as usual” planning for individuals, families, and communities will not be good enough any more.

9:00 AM – 10:00 AM  Concurrent Sessions 1
Two concurrent sessions:

TRACK A: Peak Oil: Train The Trainers
Robert Hirsch, lead author of the famous 2005 report to DOE on the“Peaking of World Oil Production: Impacts, Mitigation, and Risk Management” offers some thoughts on how to effectively present the topic of peak oil to others. Attendees will receive a set of his powerpoint slides for their use and dissemination in their own presentations.

Moderator: Debbie Cook, ASPO-USA Board of Directors
Presented by Robert Hirsch, Senior Energy Advisor, MISI
Presentation File

TRACK B: Charting a Sustainable Future ( Part 1 of 2 )
Moderator: Dave Bowden, Executive Director, ASPO-USA

  • Pat Murphy, Arthur Morgan Institute for Community Solutions
    “Sustainability of Passive Buildings and Shared Transit”
    Presentation File
  • Jason Bradford, Managing Partner of Vital Farmland LP
    “Sustainable Farming”
  • David Wann, author, Affluenza, Superbia
    “Building Sustainable Communities”

10:15 AM – 12:00 PM  Concurrent Sessions 2
Three concurrent Sessions

TRACK A: Analyses from The Oil Drum
Moderator: Kyle Saunders (“Professor Goose”)

TRACK B: Charting a Sustainable Future ( Part 2 of 2 )
Moderator: Dave Bowden, Executive Director, ASPO-USA

  • Pat Murphy, Arthur Morgan Institute for Community Solutions
    “Sustainability of Passive Buildings and Shared Transit”
    Presentation File
  • Jason Bradford, Managing Partner of Vital Farmland LP
    “Sustainable Farming”
  • David Wann, author, Affluenza, Superbia
    “Building Sustainable Communities”

TRACK C: International Perspectives ( Part 1 of 2 )
Moderator: Dick Lawrence, Board member, co-founder, ASPO-USA

  • Kjell Aleklett, President, ASPO International, Professor, Uppsala University, Sweden
    “The Peak of the Oil Age”
  • Feng Lianyong, Professor, School of Business Administration in the University of Petroleum
    “Progress of the Peak Oil Debate in China”
    Presentation File
  • Daniel Gomez, President, ASPO Spain
    “Renewable Energy in Spain – Update”
    Presentation File
  • Carlos Rossi, Venezuelan Hydrocarbon Association
    “Making the Energy Transition from Peak Oil”

1:00 PM – 2:30 PM  Concurrent Sessions 3
Three concurrent sessions:

TRACK A: Energy and Investment
Moderator: Jim Hansen, Independent Financial Consultant

  • Richard Vodra, Vice President, Spire Investment Partners
    “Personal Planning for the post-peak world – thoughts from the ASPO workshop”
  • Byron King, Editor, Whiskey & Gunpowder
    “We’re Not Surrounded. We’re Just Defending on Every Front”
    Presentation File
  • Tom Konrad, CFA-Analyst, AltEnergyStocks.com,
    “Stock Selection for the coming Era of Peak Oil and Climate Change”
    Presentation File
  • Allen Stevens, Denver Branch Manager, Stifel-Nicolaus
    “Macroeconomic Overview of Peak Oil: The 5 Ds”
    Presentation File
  • Nate Hagens, Editor, The Oil Drum
    “Why We Invest: Some Foundational Tenets”
    Presentation File

TRACK B: North American Energy System Vulnerabilities
Moderator: Sally Odland, ASPO-USA Advisory Board

TRACK C: International Perspectives ( Part 2 of 2 )
Moderator: Dick Lawrence, Board member, co-founder, ASPO-USA

2:30 PM – 3:30 PM  Extended Networking Break with Topic Table Discussions

3:30 PM – 5:00 PM  Concurrent Sessions 4
Three concurrent sessions:

TRACK A: Stalking the Wild Taboo: The Missing Discussions About Population and Energy
“Thoughts From Richard Lamm, an Interview With Albert Bartlett, and a Conversation With Both”

Moderator: John Theobald, UC Oil Forum, University of California, Davis
Presentation File

  • Hon. Richard Lamm, former Governor of Colorado, Co-Director of the Institute for Public Policy Studies, University of Denver
  • Albert Bartlett, Professor Emeritus, University of Colorado, Boulder

TRACK B: Connecting Peak Oil and the Recession
Moderator: Robert Hirsch, Senior Energy Advisor, MISI

  • Terry Backer, State Representative, State of Connecticut
    “Promoting Sound Energy Policy in Cash-Crunched Governments”
  • Steven Kopits,
 Managing Director, Douglas-Westwood LLC, New York
    “A Peak Oil Recession”
  • Nate Hagens, Editor, The Oil Drum
    “Abstract Energy Gain and the Permanent Recession”

TRACK C: Climate Change: Three Views
Moderator: Randy Udall, Energy Analyst & Co-Founder, ASPO-USA

  • Heidi VanGenderen, Team Leader, Natural Gas and Sustainable Energy Initiative, Worldwatch Institute
    “The Politics and Policy of Climate Change.”
  • Chuck Kutscher, National Renewable Energy Laboratory
    “The Urgency of Climate Change and the Potential for Renewable Energy”
  • Susan Capalbo, Chair, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics,
    Oregon State University
    “Economic Dimensions of Carbon Sequestration: How Does It Stack Up?”
5:00 PM – 6:30 PM  Meet and Greet Opening Reception

6:30 PM – 7:30 PM  Evening Keynote
Super Giant Pre-Salt Petroleum Systems recently discovered in Offshore Greater Campos Basin, Brazil

Marcio Rocha Mello, President HRT Petroleum, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil,
Introduced by Vince Matthews, Director, Colorado Geological Survey

Video interview clip from Sadad al-Husseini, oil consultant, Dhahran, Saudi Arabia.

Monday, October 12, 2009

7:00 AM – 5:00 PM  Day 2: Linking Energy Supply and the Economy

8:00 AM – 8:30 AM  Welcome and Introductions
Kjell Aleklett, President, ASPO International, Professor, Uppsala University, Sweden
Presentation File
Steve Andrews, Senior Analyst & Co-Founder, ASPO-USA
Mayor John Hickenlooper, Denver, Colorado

Video Welcome to Conference Attendees from ASPO Founder Colin Campbell

8:30 AM – 10:00 AM  The Future of Oil Supply in an Unpredictable-Price Environment
Moderator: Steve Andrews, Senior Analyst & Co-Founder, ASPO-USA

Question & Answer

10:00 AM – 10:30 AM  Break and Networking

10:30 AM – 12:00 PM  Natural Gas Game Changers?
Moderator: Randy Udall, Energy Analyst & Co-Founder, ASPO-USA

Question & Answer

12:00 PM – 1:45 PM  Lunch Keynote and Awards
Presentation of M.K. Hubbert and Whipple awards

The Nexus of Energy, the Economy and Politics
Kevin Phillips, Commentator and Author of Bad Money
Presentation File

1:45 PM – 3:15 PM  The Great Recession and Energy Markets
Moderator: Steven Kopits, Managing Director, Douglas-Westwood LLC, New York

Question and Answer ( including Kevin Phillips )

3:15 PM – 3:30 PM  Break and Networking

3:30 PM – 5:00 PM  Energy and the Media: On the Watch or Asleep at the Wheel?
Moderator: John Theobald, UC Oil Forum, University of California, Davis
Presentation File

  • Peter Maass, Author Crude World: The Violent Twilight of Oil, Contributing Writer, The New York Times Magazine
    “Crude and Confusing: Why Oil Is Harder to Write About Than Any War I Covered”
  • Lisa Margonelli, Author, Oil On The Brain, New America Foundation
    “Predictable Pitfalls: How We Fail To Cover Energy Policy And Alternative Energy… And Why It Matters”
    Presentation File
  • Richard Heinberg, Author, Blackout: Coal, Climate and the Last Energy Crisis,
    Senior Fellow, Post Carbon Institute
    “Report from the Front: A Peak Oil Educator Reflects on What’s Worked and What Hasn’t”

Question and Answer

5:00 PM – 5:30 PM  Summary / Responder and Wrap-Up

5:30 PM – 6:30 PM  Networking Reception

6:30 PM – 7:30 PM  Evening Keynote
Matthew Simmons, Simmons & Company International
“ASPO In Its 7th Year: Accomplishments, Frustrations & Failures”
Presentation File

Video interview clip from Sadad al-Husseini, oil consultant, Dhahran, Saudi Arabia.

7:30 PM – 10:00 PM  Speakers Dinner

Tuesday, October 13, 2009

7:00 AM – 5:00 PM  Day 3: Reactions, Challenges, and Opportunities

8:00 AM – 8:30 AM  Tuesday Opening Remarks
Kjell Aleklett, President, ASPO International, Professor, Uppsala University, Sweden
Presentation File
Steve Andrews, Senior Analyst & Co-Founder, ASPO-USA

8:30 Am – 10:00 AM  Eastern Hemisphere: Perspectives and Outlook
Moderator: Kjell Aleklett, President, ASPO International, Professor, Uppsala University, Sweden

  • Ray Leonard, CEO and President, Hyperdynamics Corp; former VP of Exploration, Kuwait Energy
    “Prospects for ME-OPEC and Russian Oil & Gas”
    Presentation File
  • Simon Ratcliffe, Energy Advisor, Department for International Development, Government of the United Kingdom
    “Oil in Africa and the National Transportation Masterplan in South Africa – an ASPO South Africa case study”
    Presentation File
  • Michael Rodgers, PFC Energy Partner based in Asia; senior member PFC Upstream and Gas practice
    “China: Energy Supply & Demand in the 21st Century”
    Presentation File

Question and Answer

10:00 AM – 10:30 AM  Break and Networking

10:30 AM – 12:00 PM  Western Hemisphere: Perspectives and Outlook
Moderator: Dick Lawrence, Board member, co-founder, ASPO-USA

Question and Answer

12:00 PM – 1:30 PM  Lunch and Keynote
Alternative Transportation Energy – A Major Game Changer or Overrated Strategic Option?
Tom Petrie, Founder, Petrie, Parkman, Inc. / Merrill Lynch
Presentation File

1:30 PM – 3:00 PM  Navigating Competing Priorities in Energy, Food, and Water Policy
Moderator: Debbie Cook, ASPO-USA Board of Directors
Presentation File

  • Michael Webber, Associate Director, Center for International Energy & Environmental Policy, University of Texas, Austin
    “Thirst for Power: The Global Nexus of Energy & Water”
    Presentation File
  • Jason Bradford, Managing Partner of Vital Farmland LP
    “Food Policy and a Resilient Food System”
  • Jeff Dunn, Government Affairs Analyst, Southern California Association of Governments
    “Making Sausage: The Evolution of a Bill.”

Question and Answer

3:00 PM – 3:30 PM  Break and Networking

3:30 PM – 5:00 PM  Strategies from the Forefronts of the Transition
Moderator: Sally Odland, ASPO-USA Advisory Board
Presentation File

  • Robert Hirsch, Senior Energy Advisor, MISI
    “Some Random Thoughts”
  • Ken Eklund, Writerguy, Alternate Reality Game Creator
    “World Without Oil: Crowdsourcing our way out of oil addiction”
    Presentation File
  • Chris Martenson, Creator, The Crash Course
    “Laying the Foundations for True Prosperity”

Question and Answer

5:00 PM – 5:30 PM  Special Guest
Colorado Governor Bill Ritter, Jr.

5:30 PM – 6:30 PM  Networking Reception

6:30 PM – 7:30 PM  Closing Remarks
Nate Hagens, Editor, The Oil Drum “Chicken Little at A Crossroads”
Presentation File